August 20, 2007
Chance and Will
Nassim Taleb says nobody can predict anything, so:
Random tinkering is the path to success. And fortunately, we are increasingly learning to practice it without knowing it — thanks to overconfident entrepreneurs, naive investors, greedy investment bankers, confused scientists and aggressive venture capitalists brought together by the free-market system.
Note however that the corollary is not that life is random; it’s that success must therefore come through the recognition of amazing accidents and lucky breaks, and the grabbing hold of them with both hands.