April 16, 2004
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Standing in the Shadow of Sputnik
So, Matt thinks we ought to hang NASA out to dry and re-allocate all its cash to renewable energy research instead.
Surprisingly, I don’t think this is a terrible idea.
But before we get to that, let’s review some numbers:
The Department of Energy is asking for $1.25 billion for energy efficiency and renewable energy in 2005, and $410 million for nuclear science and technology. (Hey, I know it’s not sexy anymore, but nuclear energy might still be the wave of the future.) Total: $1.7 billion.
The National Science Foundation, which funds almost half of all non-life-science research at American universities, is requesting $5.5 billion in 2005.
So what do you think NASA’s annual budget is? Make your guess, and click for more.
NASA’s request for 2005 is $16 billion. That’s more than double the DOE’s renewable energy budget and the entire NSF budget combined.
Now, to be fair, space science is expensive. The NSF can fund a pretty cool chemistry project for $150,000, but that’d probably buy like one coat of paint for a NASA probe.
But, even so: Might we be coasting on ’60s priorities?
NASA’s budget narrative says the agency will “yield remarkable new scientific insights, stimulate American innovation, and inspire young and old alike.”
Scientific insights, okay. Stimulate American innovation, questionable. Inspire young and old alike? Is this really a reasonable policy goal?
Now, I don’t want to eviscerate NASA like Matt does, because I love looking at pictures from Hubble. I think that kind of work is valuable and, I must admit, inspiring to young and old alike. But hey, it’s cheap! The ego boost (behold, daring astronauts) is what soaks up all the cash; the reality check (the universe is large, you are small) is a bargain.
So how about this: We cut $3 billion, or a little under half, of NASA’s space flight budget, and throw it over to DOE and NSF. NASA focuses on telescopes and rovers, the kinds of projects that have been most productive already. Private companies take over the business of shooting people into space (they’re getting close already). And our new mega-funded renewable energy project rocks out with mass-produced solar fusion combustors! Or whatever.
Why cut NASA, though? Why not shave a bit off the military, or redirect a few billion in agricultural subsidies? Easy answer, I think (and I stole this from Matt): Of all the things on the federal budget, manned space flight is the most discretionary. We don’t need to do it. There’s no political constituency demanding it (is there?).
So, let’s shift some of those billions over to another project that there is no political constituency for — a next-generation energy project that, if successful, would be not only scientifically interesting but also utterly world-changing.
Whoops, a little renewable-energy triumphalism crept in there.



Comments
Ray Bradbury thinks space flight is worth it for inspiration alone, but, er, I'm not sure he's chosen the most auspicious analogy.
"Hang out to dry" is such a scary, Don Corleone-ish phrase. I want NASA to gracefully age, pass away, and be reborn as a beautiful, new, privately funded phoenix. Hey, you can even call it Phoenix, Inc. I too appreciate the gorgeous images shot by Hubble, and I'm sure millions of others do as well, and might appreciate them even more if they came at a nominal cost. How is a market-driven initiative any less "inspiring to young and old alike"?
Also, freed from the constraints of nationalism, space exploration might just take off as a truly joint global effort for once. Instead of all these fractious ventures -- America goes to the moon this year, China goes there next year, Russia's off to Mars -- our space entrepreneurs could unite to soar to new heights of innovation and discovery. We could have a whole moon party. And when they find life on Mars, they can outsource to it.
And this doesn't have to be done all at once. But I would admire any President who quietly made it a policy goal to privatize NASA and supercharge renewable energy initiatives.
See, one nice thing about space is it can wait. It's been there for billions upon billions of years, and if the market does not immediately rush to pick up the government's slack in the next decade or so, it's not like space is going anywhere.
And one nice thing about renewables is that the market will start to become very interested the second technologies start looking viable. There is a wide range of options to explore, from wind power to nanotechnology, and I imagine most companies would be very conservative about investment in the industry until one or more of those options emerges as the next generation's best contender for a renewable source. Also, any company that invests in renewable energy is going to have huge negative political and market pressure from the fossil fuel industry. So investment's going to have to start with the government.
Then the government can coax renewable energy into the marketplace with taxes on fossil fuels and subsidies for usage of renewables. Oh, and did I mention that time is running out, because Europe and Japan are doing this exact thing, and will shut the US out of the market if we're not careful?
It's a matter of priorities. Pretty pictures vs. a tremendous growth industry with clear economic and environmental advantages. Mission to Mars my foot.
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